How much proof is enough?
Today I can decide how much evidence a claim needs, and explain why.
A Look back3 min
- 1.
Which pet was brought to school most often? Circle the best answer.
DogsCatsFishRabbits - 2.
How many sunny days were there in Week 1 and Week 2 together?
- 3.
How many children came to school by bus or by bike?
B Watch me, then you4 min
A school council is testing two claims. One says the class hamster is called Biscuit. The other says a new cold spray stops every cold for ever.

Ask: what does it cost us if this claim is wrong?
Being wrong about the hamster’s name costs almost nothing.
Being wrong about the spray could harm someone.
So the spray claim needs much stronger evidence.
- 1.
Which claim needs more evidence before we believe it? Circle the best answer.
The library closes at four on Friday.A new drink stops every cold for ever.
C Your turn8 min
Each claim below asks you to decide how strong the evidence must be. Look at the cost chart first.
- 1.
A friend says the bell rings at nine o’clock today. How much evidence is needed?
A little evidenceStrong, careful evidence - 2.
A shop says a bike helmet passed every safety test. How much evidence is needed?
A little evidenceStrong, careful evidence - 3.
A new cough medicine claims to work for all children. How much evidence is needed?
A little evidenceStrong, careful evidence - 4.
A cream claims to cure every rash in one night. It has not been tested on anyone. How much evidence is needed?
A little evidenceStrong, careful evidence
Say it out loud: What changed from one row to the next, and what stayed the same? Say the pattern in your own words.
D Spot the mistake3 min

- 1.
'Beyond reasonable doubt' means being sure. 'Balance of probabilities' means more likely true than not. A civil court settles disputes like an unpaid bill, with no prison. Which standard fits it? Circle the best answer.
balance of probabilitiesbeyond reasonable doubt
E Think deeper4 min

- 1.
Write one ordinary claim and one extraordinary claim. For each, say what evidence you would need before you believed it.